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Friday, March 20, 2026
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Cyprus Navigates Geopolitical Headwinds with Stable 'A' Rating Amidst Banking Sector Profit Dip

**NICOSIA** – Global rating agency Morningstar DBRS has reaffirmed the Republic of Cyprus' long-term foreign and local currency issuer ratings at 'A', with a stable outlook, signalling continued confidence in the nation's financial resilience. This affirmation arrives as the Cypriot banking sector observes a dip in profitability for 2025, a trend attributed primarily to a reduced contribution from net interest income, despite an overall expansion in total assets and a strengthening of capital ratios. The Central Bank of Cyprus, in a proactive measure, has maintained the countercyclical capital buffer at 1.5%, underscoring a commitment to fortifying the financial system against potential global instabilities.

The past year, 2025, saw the Cypriot economy demonstrate robust growth, with real Gross Domestic Product expanding by a significant 3.8%. This expansion was propelled by a combination of strong domestic demand and a burgeoning service exports sector. Concurrently, the banking sector's aggregate profits for 2025 were reported at €1.02 billion, a noticeable decrease from the €1.18 billion recorded in 2024 and the €1.26 billion peak of 2023. This profit moderation, however, has not unduly impacted the sector's overall health. Total banking assets ascended to €69.9 billion by the close of 2025, an increase from €65.6 billion in the preceding year. Crucially, the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio, a key indicator of a bank's financial strength, witnessed an improvement, reaching 25.8% in 2025, up from 24.7% in 2024, signalling enhanced solvency.

The affirmation of Cyprus' creditworthiness by Morningstar DBRS is underpinned by substantial fiscal buffers and robust government finances, which have enabled the nation to navigate the complexities arising from regional geopolitical tensions, particularly those emanating from the Middle East. While the agency acknowledges the potential for negative repercussions on the Cypriot economy, contingent on the duration and intensity of these conflicts, it concurrently highlights the nation's capacity to withstand such shocks. The general government debt, as of September 2025, stood at a manageable 60.6% of GDP, a testament to prudent fiscal management that has seen recurring surpluses averaging 2.8% of GDP between 2022 and 2025.

In a strategic move to bolster its digital offerings and market reach, the Bank of Cyprus has invested €6 million to acquire a 26.45% stake in Wealthyhood, a personal investment application. This investment is poised to accelerate Wealthyhood's integration into the Cypriot market and facilitate its future expansion into Greece and other European territories, reflecting a broader trend of financial institutions embracing innovative fintech solutions. Meanwhile, within the insurance landscape, ERB Cyprialife, the life insurance division of Eurobank Cyprus, has once again solidified its leading position, marking its twelfth consecutive year of dominance in new repeat insurance policies, a testament to its sustained market penetration and customer loyalty.

The decision by the Central Bank of Cyprus to maintain the countercyclical capital buffer at 1.5%, effective from January 14, 2026, underscores a precautionary approach. This buffer serves as an additional layer of capital designed to absorb potential losses stemming from systemic risks, including ongoing global conflicts and rising protectionist sentiments. The European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to hold key interest rates steady, with the deposit facility at 2.00%, main refinancing operations at 2.15%, and the marginal lending facility at 2.40%, provides a stable monetary environment, though the impact of these rates on future bank profitability warrants continued observation.

While the Cypriot economy has demonstrated commendable resilience, the short-term outlook remains subject to external volatilities. The tourism sector, a significant contributor to the economy, is particularly susceptible to geopolitical instability and fluctuating energy prices. Nevertheless, the robust economic growth momentum, coupled with the strong financial footing of both the public and private sectors, positions Cyprus favourably to confront these challenges and maintain its trajectory of stable economic development.

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