A volatile weather system is predicted to impact the region on Wednesday, bringing a significant mix of heavy rainfall, formidable thunderstorms, and even snow at higher elevations. The meteorological forecast indicates a low-pressure system migrating from the Black Sea, which is also expected to cause exceptionally strong winds and a considerable amount of dust. Consequently, authorities have issued a yellow warning for wind intensity. While disruptions are anticipated, a period of calmer weather is forecast to gradually emerge by early afternoon.
This atmospheric turmoil is primarily attributed to a low-pressure system currently situated over the Black Sea. This system is progressing northeastward, and its influence will be temporary but significant. Residents should prepare for substantial rainfall, with a possibility of intense thunderstorms, particularly in the western parts of the island. For individuals in or travelling to higher mountainous areas, the precipitation may transform into snow or sleet, introducing a wintry element to the autumn conditions.
Adding another layer to this challenging forecast is the presence of atmospheric dust, a result of prevailing conditions. This dust is expected to be noticeable until midday on Wednesday, potentially affecting air quality and visibility. Accompanying the rain and thunderstorms will be powerful winds. Forecasts suggest winds primarily from the south-westerly to westerly directions, intensifying from strong to very strong, ranging between 5 and 6 Beaufort. In exposed locations, these winds could approach near-gale force, with gusts potentially reaching between 9 and 10 Beaufort. As a result, sea conditions are projected to worsen from rough to very rough, and on windward coasts, they may even become stormy, posing a hazard to maritime activities. A yellow warning for these severe winds will remain in effect until 4 PM on Wednesday.
Temperatures are expected to remain broadly in line with seasonal averages throughout the week until Friday. Inland and coastal areas will likely experience mild temperatures around 18°C, while higher mountain ranges will be considerably cooler, around 6°C. This temperature contrast is relevant given the prospect of snow at higher altitudes.
As Wednesday progresses into the afternoon, a noticeable improvement in weather conditions is anticipated. The intensity of the rain and thunderstorms is expected to decrease, and the winds, while still strong, should begin to moderate. By Wednesday night, the forecast suggests partially cloudy skies with isolated showers, again with a higher likelihood in the western half of the island. The possibility of snow or sleet persisting in the highest mountain areas will continue. Looking ahead to Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, the weather is expected to stabilize, though with intermittent periods of increased cloud cover. Temperatures are forecast to rise slightly on Saturday, signalling a return to more settled weather patterns after the midweek tempest. However, immediate attention should be focused on navigating Wednesday's potent weather system, which requires caution and preparedness.