New public opinion data reveals a significant transformation in how Cypriots perceive their most crucial defence alliances. The findings indicate a dramatic surge in confidence towards Israel as a primary security partner, projected to solidify by early 2026. This shift signals a notable decrease in Greece's long-held status as Cyprus' principal defence guarantor. Concurrently, there is a growing reliance on both the United States and Russia amidst escalating geopolitical instability in the Eastern Mediterranean.
A recent CYBC opinion poll unveiled a compelling picture of evolving strategic priorities. By January 2026, a substantial 41% of Cypriot respondents anticipate looking to Israel for defence support, a marked contrast to the mere 9.5% who felt similarly in May 2024. Conversely, Greece's perceived role as the island’s principal security anchor has diminished considerably, dropping from 45% in May 2024 to an anticipated 27% by early 2026. This recalibration underscores a burgeoning trilateral relationship between Cyprus, Greece, and Israel, which a strong majority now view as intrinsically beneficial.
Beyond immediate bilateral shifts, the survey highlights an enhanced appreciation for global powers. Both the United States and Russia have seen their perceived influence as defence partners grow significantly. Washington’s standing is projected to rise to 16.5% by January 2026, an increase from 11% in May 2024, while Moscow’s perceived relevance has effectively doubled, climbing to 14% from 7%. In parallel, the influence of the European Union and France appears to be waning, with support for the former declining and for the latter, a slight drop. This data suggests a Cypriot public increasingly cognisant of the multifaceted security landscape.
This evolving strategic calculus occurs against a backdrop of heightened regional tensions, particularly concerning Iran. In a demonstration of enhanced defensive capabilities, the United Kingdom recently deployed six F-35B Lightning stealth fighter jets to RAF Akrotiri. Operating under the Royal Air Force, these advanced aircraft are tasked with bolstering defensive coverage and vigilant airspace monitoring. This deployment signifies a proactive stance by the UK in reinforcing its defensive posture within a volatile geopolitical environment.
The implications of these shifts are manifold. Israel's ascendancy suggests a growing recognition of its advanced military capabilities and strategic alignment with Cyprus and Greece. The increased reliance on non-European powers reflects a pragmatic assessment of where security assurances can be most effectively sourced. As Cyprus navigates an intricate geopolitical terrain, its evolving defence alliances underscore a strategic imperative to adapt and fortify its security framework through diversified partnerships.